Liga II · Romania · Baza Sportiva FC BacauFC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa prediction & analysis
FC Bacau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: FC Bacau to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Bacau 1.7 – 0.8 Dumbrăviţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Bacau are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Dumbrăviţa.
FC Bacau have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Dumbrăviţa have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. FC Bacau come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for FC Bacau, 0.8 for Dumbrăviţa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, FC Bacau have won 1, Dumbrăviţa have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is FC Bacau or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, FC Bacau to win at 1.75 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Bacau to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | FC Bacau or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Bacau / FT FC Bacau ✓ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.09 | – |
Form
FC Bacau – last 6
| 3 Sep | vs Universitatea Craiova | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Slatina | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Popești-Leordeni | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Viitorul Onesti | 3–0 | W |
Dumbrăviţa – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Popești-Leordeni | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | @ FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Ştefăneşti | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Aug | vs CSM Satu Mare | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 2 May 2026 | FC Bacau v Dumbrăviţa | 1–0 |
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
Our pick is FC Bacau or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
On our numbers FC Bacau have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dumbrăviţa 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa?
FC Bacau vs Dumbrăviţa (Liga II) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Baza Sportiva FC Bacau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.