Liga II · Romania · Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grassMetalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Metalul Buzău 1.2 – 1.1 Chindia Targoviste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Metalul Buzău and Chindia Targoviste on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Metalul Buzău have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Chindia Targoviste have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Metalul Buzău, 1.1 for Chindia Targoviste). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Metalul Buzău have won 1, Chindia Targoviste have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.28.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Metalul Buzău to win ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău ✗ | 22% | 4.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.46 | – |
Form
Metalul Buzău – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Slatina | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Gloria Bistriţa | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CS Dinamo București | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Baicoi | 4–2 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs CS Afumati | 3–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Metaloglobus | 0–0 | D |
Chindia Targoviste – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs CS Dinamo București | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | @ CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ CS Afumati | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Flacăra Moreni | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Metaloglobus | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Aug | @ FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Mar 2026 | Chindia Targoviste v Metalul Buzău | 2–3 |
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
On our numbers Metalul Buzău have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chindia Targoviste 35%.
How many goals will there be in Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste?
Metalul Buzău vs Chindia Targoviste (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.