Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Zira Stadium
Zira
Qabala
Zira vs Qabala prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zira 1.8 – 0.8 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zira are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Qabala.
Zira have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Qabala have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Zira, 0.8 for Qabala). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zira to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Zira or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Zira ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zira / FT Zira ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.19 | – |
Form
Zira – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Araz | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Oct | @ Səbail | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Sumqayıt | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Kapaz | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Şamaxı FK | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Turan | 0–1 | L |
Qabala – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Qarabag | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Mingəçevir | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Araz | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Sabah FA | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Sumqayıt | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Neftchi Baku | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Qabala.
More Premyer Liqa predictions
Safa Baku2
Araz2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zira vs Qabala?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Zira vs Qabala?
On our numbers Zira have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qabala 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Zira vs Qabala?
Zira vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.