Serie B · Italy · Stadio Euganeo

Padova

DWWLL
2–2
FT

Empoli

DLLDL

Padova vs Empoli prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Empoli to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultPadova to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58

Win chances

Padova46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Empoli32%fair 3.17 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.40Padova xG
1.09Empoli xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Padova 1.4 – 1.1 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Padova hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Empoli.

Padova have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Empoli have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. Padova come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Padova, 1.1 for Empoli). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Empoli to win at 3.40 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPadova to win ✗46%2.162.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Padova / FT Padova ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.58–

Form

Padova – last 6

DWWLLL
31 Oct@ Catanzaro1–1D
27 Octvs Sudtirol2–0W
24 Oct@ Avellino1–0W
17 Octvs Virtus Entella1–2L
11 Octvs Carrarese0–2L
19 Sep@ Palermo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Empoli – last 6

DLLDLL
1 Novvs Juve Stabia2–2D
27 Oct@ Cesena1–2L
23 Octvs Vicenza Virtus0–2L
17 Oct@ Ascoli1–1D
10 Octvs Palermo2–4L
20 Sep@ Modena1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Padova and Empoli.

More Serie B predictions

FT Cesena1 Catanzaro0 462232 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Juve Stabia1 Arezzo0 662311 1Juve Stabia to win 66%@1.80 ✓ FT Pisa2 Sudtirol2 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT Mantova0 Hellas Verona0 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Benevento1 Avellino1 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Padova vs Empoli?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Padova vs Empoli?

On our numbers Padova have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Empoli 32%.

How many goals will there be in Padova vs Empoli?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Padova vs Empoli?

Padova vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Euganeo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.