Serie B · Italy · Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento

LDWDW
1–1
FT

Avellino

WDLDW

Benevento vs Avellino prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBenevento to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02

Win chances

Benevento45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
Avellino33%fair 3.06 · @3.90
2.54Expected goals
1.40Benevento xG
1.14Avellino xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Benevento 1.4 – 1.1 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Benevento hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Avellino.

Benevento have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Avellino have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Benevento, 1.1 for Avellino). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Avellino to win at 3.90 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenevento to win ✗45%2.222.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benevento / FT Benevento ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.02–

Form

Benevento – last 6

LDWDWL
31 Oct@ Cremonese0–2L
27 Octvs Catanzaro1–1D
24 Oct@ Arezzo3–0W
17 Octvs Vicenza Virtus2–2D
10 Octvs Cesena2–0W
2 Oct@ Frosinone1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Avellino – last 6

WDLDWL
1 Novvs Pisa2–0W
27 Oct@ Virtus Entella1–1D
24 Octvs Padova0–1L
18 Oct@ Cesena1–1D
9 Octvs Sampdoria4–1W
19 Sep@ Ascoli1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Avellino.

More Serie B predictions

FT Cesena1 Catanzaro0 462232 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Juve Stabia1 Arezzo0 662311 1Juve Stabia to win 66%@1.80 ✓ FT Padova2 Empoli2 462232 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗ FT Pisa2 Sudtirol2 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓ FT Mantova0 Hellas Verona0 382438 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benevento vs Avellino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Benevento vs Avellino?

On our numbers Benevento have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avellino 33%.

How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Avellino?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Benevento vs Avellino?

Benevento vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.