Serie A Women · Italy · Campo Mirko FersiniLazio W vs Como W prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Como W to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lazio W 1.2 – 1.1 Como W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lazio W and Como W on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lazio W have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Como W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Lazio W, 1.1 for Como W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Como W to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lazio W to win ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lazio W / FT Lazio W ✗ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.93 | – |
Form
Lazio W – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Ternana W | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Roma W | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Parma W | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Inter Milano W | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Parma W | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Napoli W | 4–2 | W |
Como W – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Fiorentina W | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Inter Milano W | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Ternana W | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Como 1907 W | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ AC Milan W | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Juventus W | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio W and Como W.
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma W | 6 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Inter Milano W | 6 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 |  Como 1907 W | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 |  Fiorentina W | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus W | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 |  Como W | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Ternana W | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 |  AC Milan W | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Napoli W | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Parma W | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Lazio W | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo W | 6 | -8 | 2 |
More Serie A Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lazio W vs Como W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lazio W vs Como W?
On our numbers Lazio W have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Como W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio W vs Como W?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Lazio W vs Como W?
Lazio W vs Como W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Mirko Fersini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.