GOR Mahia vs Vipers prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.6 – 1.5 Vipers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates GOR Mahia and Vipers on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
GOR Mahia have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Vipers have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.6 for GOR Mahia, 1.5 for Vipers). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is better than our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | GOR Mahia to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.45 ▲ |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia ✗ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.38 | – |
Form
GOR Mahia – last 6
| 24 Jul | @ APR | 5–0 | W |
| 31 May | vs Nairobi United | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | vs Police | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | @ Homeboyz | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ AFC Leopards | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Bandari | 0–0 | D |
Vipers – last 6
| 24 Jul | vs Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri | 3–0 | W |
| 23 May | vs Express | 2–0 | W |
| 19 May | @ Maroons | 3–0 | W |
| 12 May | @ Police | 0–0 | D |
| 8 May | vs URA | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Apr | @ KCCA | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Vipers.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Vipers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Vipers?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vipers 34%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Vipers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is GOR Mahia vs Vipers?
GOR Mahia vs Vipers (CECAFA Club Cup) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.