Segunda División · Chile · Estadio Municipal de Salamanca
Municipal Salamanca
Colchagua
Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Colchagua to win @ 3.34 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Municipal Salamanca 1.1 – 0.9 Colchagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Municipal Salamanca hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Colchagua.
Municipal Salamanca have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Colchagua have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Municipal Salamanca, 0.9 for Colchagua). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Municipal Salamanca have won 1, Colchagua have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.57. For a bigger price, Colchagua to win at 3.34 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Municipal Salamanca to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.07 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.97 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.39 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Municipal Salamanca / FT Municipal Salamanca ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.81 | – |
Form
Municipal Salamanca – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Concón National | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Santiago City | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Linares Unido | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Santiago City | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Trasandino | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Provincial Osorno | 2–1 | W |
Colchagua – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Trasandino | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Santiago City | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Provincial Osorno | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Concón National | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Linares Unido | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Municipal Salamanca | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 1 Sep 2026 | Colchagua v Municipal Salamanca | 0–1 |
More Segunda División predictions
Provincial Ovalle2
Santiago Morning1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.35
✓
FT
Lota Schwager2
Colina1
1Lota Schwager to win
64%@1.83
✓
FT
Trasandino2
Provincial Osorno1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
On our numbers Municipal Salamanca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colchagua 34%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua?
Municipal Salamanca vs Colchagua (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Salamanca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.