Segunda División · ChileConcón National vs Provincial Osorno prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Concón National 1.2 – 0.9 Provincial Osorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Concón National hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 32% for Provincial Osorno.
Concón National have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Provincial Osorno have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Concón National come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.2 for Concón National, 0.9 for Provincial Osorno). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Concón National have won 0, Provincial Osorno have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.79.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Concón National to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Concón National / FT Concón National ✗ | 24% | 4.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.77 | – |
Form
Concón National – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Colchagua | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Santiago City | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Linares Unido | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Municipal Salamanca | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Trasandino | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Provincial Osorno | 0–1 | L |
Provincial Osorno – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Colchagua | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Santiago City | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Municipal Salamanca | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Trasandino | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Linares Unido | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Concón National | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 8 Aug 2026 | Provincial Osorno v Concón National | 1–0 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
On our numbers Concón National have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Provincial Osorno 32%.
How many goals will there be in Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Concón National vs Provincial Osorno?
Concón National vs Provincial Osorno (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.