Segunda División · ChileColchagua vs Santiago City prediction & analysis
Colchagua or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Colchagua to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colchagua 1.9 – 0.8 Santiago City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colchagua are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Santiago City.
Colchagua have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Santiago City have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Colchagua, 0.8 for Santiago City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Colchagua or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Colchagua to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colchagua to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Colchagua or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Colchagua ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colchagua / FT Colchagua ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.89 | – |
Form
Colchagua – last 6
| 12 Jul | @ Linares Unido | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Jul | vs Lota Schwager | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Jun | @ Deportes Rengo | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Provincial Osorno | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | @ General Velásquez | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | vs Santiago Morning | 1–1 | D |
Santiago City – last 6
| 11 Jul | @ Concón National | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | vs Provincial Ovalle | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Jun | @ Trasandino | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Jun | vs Colina | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | @ Municipal Salamanca | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | vs Real San Joaquín | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchagua and Santiago City.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colchagua vs Santiago City?
Our pick is Colchagua or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Colchagua vs Santiago City?
On our numbers Colchagua have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santiago City 17%.
How many goals will there be in Colchagua vs Santiago City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Colchagua vs Santiago City?
Colchagua vs Santiago City (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.