Primera Division · El-Salvador
Atletico Balboa
Inca Aruba
Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Balboa 1.8 – 0.9 Inca Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Balboa are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 22% for Inca Aruba.
Atletico Balboa have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Inca Aruba have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Atletico Balboa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Atletico Balboa, 0.9 for Inca Aruba). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atletico Balboa have won 0, Inca Aruba have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.33.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Balboa to win | 62% | 1.62 | 1.68 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 84% | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 52% | 1.93 | 1.97 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Atletico Balboa ahead at half-time | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Balboa / FT Atletico Balboa | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 12% | 8.30 | – |
Form
Atletico Balboa – last 6
| 9 Nov | @ Municipal Limeño | 4–3 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Alianza | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Fuerte San Francisco | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Águila | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs FAS | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Isidro Metapán | 2–3 | L |
Inca Aruba – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Isidro Metapán | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | @ Cacahuatique | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Inter | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Firpo | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Platense | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Oct | @ FAS | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Sep 2026 | Inca Aruba v Atletico Balboa | 1–0 |
More Primera Division predictions
Águila
Municipal Limeño
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.20
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
On our numbers Atletico Balboa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Inca Aruba 22%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.