Primera Division · El-Salvador
Águila
Municipal Limeño
Águila vs Municipal Limeño prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
Value bet: Municipal Limeño to win @ 3.44 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Águila 1.6 – 1.3 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Águila hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 35% for Municipal Limeño.
Águila have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Municipal Limeño have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. Águila come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.6 for Águila, 1.3 for Municipal Limeño). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Águila have won 0, Municipal Limeño have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Municipal Limeño to win at 3.44 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Águila to win | 48% | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 83% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 52% | 1.91 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Águila / FT Águila | 26% | 3.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 9% | 10.97 | – |
Form
Águila – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Alianza | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Fuerte San Francisco | 4–3 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs FAS | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Atletico Balboa | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Isidro Metapán | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Cacahuatique | 4–1 | W |
Municipal Limeño – last 6
| 9 Nov | vs Atletico Balboa | 3–4 | L |
| 5 Nov | vs Fuerte San Francisco | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | @ Isidro Metapán | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Cacahuatique | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Inter | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Firpo | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 10 Sep 2026 | Municipal Limeño v Águila | 0–0 |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Municipal Limeño v Águila | 2–0 |
More Primera Division predictions
Atletico Balboa
Inca Aruba
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.20
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Águila vs Municipal Limeño?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Águila vs Municipal Limeño?
On our numbers Águila have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Municipal Limeño 35%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs Municipal Limeño?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Águila vs Municipal Limeño?
Águila vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.