Stars League · Qatar · Saoud bin Abdulrahman StadiumAl Shamal vs Al Wakrah prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
Value bet: Al Shamal to win @ 2.18 – our chance 52% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Shamal 2.1 – 1.5 Al Wakrah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al Shamal hold the edge on home soil with a 52% chance of winning, against 29% for Al Wakrah.
Al Shamal have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.8 per game. Al Wakrah have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 3.0 conceded. Al Shamal come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.1 for Al Shamal, 1.5 for Al Wakrah). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
In their last 1 meeting, Al Shamal have won 1, Al Wakrah have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.45 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Al Shamal to win at 2.18 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al Shamal to win ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.18 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Al Shamal ahead at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al Shamal / FT Al Shamal ✗ | 32% | 3.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.18 | – |
Form
Al Shamal – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Al Shahaniya | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Al-Rayyan SC | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | @ Al-Gharafa | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Al-Arabi SC | 2–2 | D |
| 1 May | vs Al Sadd | 4–6 | L |
| 27 Apr | @ Al Sadd | 2–3 | L |
Al Wakrah – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Lusail City | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Al-Rayyan SC | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Qatar SC | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jul | @ Nantes | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | @ Rouen | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Caen | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Mar 2026 | Al Wakrah v Al Shamal | 0–1 |
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Duhail SC | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Al Sadd | 9 | +16 | 18 |
| 4 |  Al-Arabi SC | 9 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Lusail City | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Al Ahli Doha | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Wakrah | 9 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  Al Shahaniya | 9 | -9 | 10 |
| 10 |  Al-Gharafa | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Qatar SC | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 |  Al-Sailiya | 9 | -24 | 1 |
More Stars League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?
On our numbers Al Shamal have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al Wakrah 29%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah?
Al Shamal vs Al Wakrah (Stars League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.