Non League Premier Southern South · EnglandUxbridge vs Malvern Town prediction & analysis
Uxbridge to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uxbridge 2.4 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uxbridge are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Malvern Town.
Uxbridge have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Malvern Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Uxbridge come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.4 for Uxbridge, 1.1 for Malvern Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Uxbridge to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uxbridge to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Uxbridge or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time result | Uxbridge ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uxbridge / FT Uxbridge ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.52 | – |
Form
Uxbridge – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs AFC Hornchurch | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Evesham United | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Hungerford Town | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Basingstoke Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Lewes | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Farnborough | 2–0 | W |
Malvern Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Yate Town | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Basingstoke Town | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Bath City | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Mickleover Sports | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Gloucester City | 5–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uxbridge and Malvern Town.
Non League Premier Southern South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uxbridge | 15 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |  Poole Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 15 | +13 | 29 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 15 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Wimborne Town | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 10 |  Frome Town | 15 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Taunton Town | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Hanwell Town | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sholing | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |  Basingstoke Town | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Yate Town | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 15 | -12 | 15 |
| 19 |  Bracknell Town | 17 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 |  Malvern Town | 15 | -16 | 14 |
| 21 |  Gloucester City | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 22 |  Havant & Wville | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More Non League Premier Southern South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?
Our pick is Uxbridge to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?
On our numbers Uxbridge have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malvern Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Uxbridge vs Malvern Town?
Uxbridge vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.