Non League Premier Southern South · EnglandChichester City vs Plymouth Parkway prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chichester City 1.5 – 1.8 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Plymouth Parkway shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 35% for Chichester City.
Chichester City have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Plymouth Parkway have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Plymouth Parkway come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.5 for Chichester City, 1.8 for Plymouth Parkway). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Plymouth Parkway to win ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✗ | 27% | 3.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.17 | – |
Form
Chichester City – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ Hanworth Villa | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Thame United | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Chertsey Town | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs SE Dons | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Uxbridge | 0–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Broadfields United | 4–1 | W |
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Horsham | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Gloucester City | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Bath City | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Frome Town | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Sholing | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chichester City and Plymouth Parkway.
Non League Premier Southern South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uxbridge | 15 | +17 | 33 |
| 2 |  Poole Town | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 15 | +13 | 29 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 15 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Wimborne Town | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 10 |  Frome Town | 15 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Taunton Town | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Hanwell Town | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 |  Sholing | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 |  Basingstoke Town | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Yate Town | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 15 | -12 | 15 |
| 19 |  Bracknell Town | 17 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 |  Malvern Town | 15 | -16 | 14 |
| 21 |  Gloucester City | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 22 |  Havant & Wville | 16 | -13 | 12 |
More Non League Premier Southern South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Chichester City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Plymouth Parkway 46%.
How many goals will there be in Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.