Non League Premier Southern Central · EnglandHitchin Town vs Bury Town prediction & analysis
Bury Town to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hitchin Town 1.0 – 1.6 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bury Town shade it despite being away from home – 55% to win, against 24% for Hitchin Town.
Hitchin Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bury Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.0 for Hitchin Town, 1.6 for Bury Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hitchin Town have won 0, Bury Town have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Bury Town to win at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bury Town to win ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bury Town / FT Bury Town ✗ | 32% | 3.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.36 | – |
Form
Hitchin Town – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Stamford | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Halesowen Town | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Peterborough Sports | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Leamington | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Leighton Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Takeley | 0–2 | L |
Bury Town – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Real Bedford | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Stourbridge | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Needham Market | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Alvechurch | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Spalding United | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Spalding United | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Sep 2026 | Bury Town v Hitchin Town | 1–0 |
Non League Premier Southern Central table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 17 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 17 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 |  Peterborough Sports | 17 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 |  Needham Market | 16 | +12 | 28 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 14 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 15 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 15 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 16 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Leiston | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 |  Worcester City | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 |  Bishop's Stortford | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 16 | -35 | 5 |
More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?
Our pick is Bury Town to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Hitchin Town have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bury Town 55%.
How many goals will there be in Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?
Hitchin Town vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.