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Bury Town vs Needham Market prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBury Town to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Win chances

Bury Town41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Needham Market35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
3.15Expected goals
1.64Bury Town xG
1.51Needham Market xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Bury Town 1.6 – 1.5 Needham Market expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Bury Town and Needham Market on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Bury Town have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Needham Market have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (1.6 for Bury Town, 1.5 for Needham Market). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Bury Town have won 0, Needham Market have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.58.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBury Town to win ✗41%2.452.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bury Town / FT Bury Town ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Form

Bury Town – last 6

WLDWLW
10 Oct@ Alvechurch1–0W
6 Oct@ Spalding United0–4L
3 Octvs Spalding United1–1D
29 Sep@ Bishop's Stortford2–1W
26 Sep@ St Albans City1–4L
22 Sepvs Hitchin Town1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Needham Market – last 6

DLWWLD
10 Octvs Anstey Nomads1–1D
3 Oct@ Rushall Olympic3–5L
29 Sepvs Stamford4–0W
26 Sep@ Canvey Island3–0W
22 Sep@ Braintree0–3L
19 Sepvs Braintree3–3D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Bury Town v Needham Market1–1

Non League Premier Southern Central table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford171223+2138
2Bury Town171124+535
3Bromsgrove Sporting151041+1534
4Kettering Town16943+1331
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Needham Market16844+1228
7Rushall Olympic17908+427
8Alvechurch14752+1426
9Anstey Nomads15753+826
10Halesowen Town14725023
11Stourbridge15645-122
12Racing Club Warwick16556+120
13Stratford Town16475-519
14Redditch United15465018
15Hitchin Town16448-416
16Leiston14437-415
17Banbury United16358-1114
18Worcester City13346-213
19Leamington16349-813
20Bishop's Stortford164111-1113
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bury Town vs Needham Market?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Bury Town vs Needham Market?

On our numbers Bury Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Needham Market 35%.

How many goals will there be in Bury Town vs Needham Market?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Bury Town vs Needham Market?

Bury Town vs Needham Market (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.