Non League Premier Southern Central · EnglandStourbridge vs Real Bedford prediction & analysis
Real Bedford or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Stourbridge 1.2 – 2.2 Real Bedford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Real Bedford shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 17% for Stourbridge.
Stourbridge have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Real Bedford have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Real Bedford come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.2 for Stourbridge, 2.2 for Real Bedford). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Stourbridge have won 1, Real Bedford have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Real Bedford or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.20.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Bedford to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Real Bedford or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | Real Bedford ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Bedford / FT Real Bedford ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.28 | – |
Form
Stourbridge – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Hitchin Town | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Leamington | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Banbury United | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Leiston | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Peterborough Sports | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Stamford | 2–0 | W |
Real Bedford – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Harleston Town | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Redditch United | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Royston Town | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Leighton Town | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Halesowen Town | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Stratford Town | 6–1 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Stourbridge v Real Bedford | 2–1 |
Non League Premier Southern Central table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 17 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 17 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 |  Peterborough Sports | 17 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 |  Needham Market | 16 | +12 | 28 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 14 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 15 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 15 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 16 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Leiston | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 |  Worcester City | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 |  Bishop's Stortford | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 16 | -35 | 5 |
More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?
Our pick is Real Bedford or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?
On our numbers Stourbridge have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Bedford 58%.
How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Stourbridge vs Real Bedford?
Stourbridge vs Real Bedford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.