Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Comerciantes to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultComerciantes to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica preview and prediction
The match
Comerciantes host Bentín Tacna Heroica in the Segunda División on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Max Augustin. Comerciantes are 2nd with 26 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Bentín Tacna Heroica sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Comerciantes's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Santos 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bentín Tacna Heroica's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Ayacucho FC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bentín Tacna Heroica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Comerciantes and 0.7 for Bentín Tacna Heroica. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Comerciantes to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Comerciantes 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Comerciantes61%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.40
Bentín Tacna Heroica20%fair 5.02 · @4.20
2.15Expected goals
1.49Comerciantes xG
0.66Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
39%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Comerciantes 1.5 – 0.7 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes to win✗
61%
1.65
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes / FT Comerciantes✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Comerciantes – last 6
LWDLDW
1 Aug
@ Santos
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs Alianza Universidad
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sport Huancayo 2
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Estudiantil CNI
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Union Comercio
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 5
WWWDL
2 Aug
vs Ayacucho FC
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Deportivo Binacional
3–0
W
19 Jul
vs Minas
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ UCV Moquegua
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes and Bentín Tacna Heroica.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Comerciantes to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Comerciantes have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 20%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Max Augustin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cesar Vallejo1
Molinos El Pirata1