Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Union Comercio to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceUnion Comercio or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao preview and prediction
The match
Academia Cantolao travel to Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia in the Segunda División on Friday 7 August (21:15 WAT) to face Union Comercio. Union Comercio are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Academia Cantolao sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Comercio's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Cesar Vallejo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Academia Cantolao's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Cesar Vallejo 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Union Comercio and 0.7 for Academia Cantolao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Comercio 66%, draw 19%, Academia Cantolao 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Comercio to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union Comercio 1–0 Academia Cantolao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Comercio66%fair 1.53 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.75
Academia Cantolao16%fair 6.43 · @9.00
2.55Expected goals
1.84Union Comercio xG
0.72Academia Cantolao xG
42%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.8 – 0.7 Academia Cantolao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✓
66%
1.53
1.25
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Union Comercio ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Union Comercio – last 6
DLLWWD
25 Jul
@ Cesar Vallejo
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Sporting Cristal
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Comerciantes
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
3–1
W
31 May
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
1–0
W
17 May
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Academia Cantolao – last 6
DDLWLL
1 Aug
vs Cesar Vallejo
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
20 Jun
vs U. San Martin
4–3
W
31 May
vs U. San Martin
0–4
L
24 May
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Academia Cantolao.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Academia Cantolao 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Academia Cantolao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao?
Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
