Second League · Egypt · El Mahalla StadiumBaladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1.1 – 1.0 AL Nasr SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and AL Nasr SC on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. AL Nasr SC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, 1.0 for AL Nasr SC). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla / FT Baladiyyat Al Mehalla ✗ | 21% | 4.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.75 | – |
Form
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 6
| 22 Oct | @ Itesalat | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Masar | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Team | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Tersana | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Kahraba Ismailia | 0–1 | L |
AL Nasr SC – last 6
| 22 Oct | vs El Dakhleya | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | @ El Mansura | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | vs Proxy | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | @ La Viena FC | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | vs El Seka El Hadid | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Tanta SC | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and AL Nasr SC.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Masar | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Pharco | 11 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Kahraba Ismailia | 11 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Haras El Hodood | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  El Mansura | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Itesalat | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  El Seka El Hadid | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |  AL Nasr SC | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 |  Tersana | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ismaily SC | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Team | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  El Entag EL Harby | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 |  El Dakhleya | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Tanta SC | 11 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  La Viena FC | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Proxy | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Dayrout | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 |  Mega Sport | 11 | -11 | 4 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
On our numbers Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AL Nasr SC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC (Second League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at El Mahalla Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.