Second League · EgyptPharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Pharco to win @ 1.81 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pharco 1.2 – 0.4 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pharco are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
Pharco have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Pharco come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.6 goals (1.2 for Pharco, 0.4 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (24%), 0–0 (20%), 2–0 (15%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Pharco to win at 1.81 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pharco to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.81 ▲ |
| Double chance | Pharco or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.39 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pharco / FT Pharco ✓ | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 24% | 4.09 | – |
Form
Pharco – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ El Dakhleya | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs El Mansura | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Proxy | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | @ Ismaily SC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 May | vs National Bank of Egypt | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | @ El Geish | 0–1 | L |
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Mega Sport | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs El Dakhleya | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | @ El Mansura | 1–2 | L |
| 14 May | @ Asyut Petrol | 0–1 | L |
| 7 May | vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Apr | vs El Mansura | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pharco and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Masar | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Pharco | 11 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Kahraba Ismailia | 11 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Haras El Hodood | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  El Mansura | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Itesalat | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  El Seka El Hadid | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 9 |  AL Nasr SC | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 |  Tersana | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ismaily SC | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Team | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  El Entag EL Harby | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 15 |  El Dakhleya | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Tanta SC | 11 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  La Viena FC | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Proxy | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Dayrout | 11 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 |  Mega Sport | 11 | -11 | 4 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
On our numbers Pharco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
When is Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.