NB III Northwest · Hungary · Grosics Gyula StadionTatabánya vs Dorogi FC prediction & analysis
Tatabánya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: Tatabánya to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tatabánya 2.0 – 1.2 Dorogi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tatabánya hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 21% for Dorogi FC.
Tatabánya have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Dorogi FC have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Tatabánya, 1.2 for Dorogi FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Tatabánya or draw at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is better than our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Tatabánya to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tatabánya to win ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Tatabánya or draw ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Tatabánya ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tatabánya / FT Tatabánya ✗ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Tatabánya – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Pápai Perutz | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Zalaegerszegi TE II | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Komárom | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs 1908 SZAC | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Veszprém | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Kecskeméti TE | 4–5 | L |
Dorogi FC – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Bicskei | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Gyori ETO II | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Haladás VSE | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ MTE 1904 | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Puskás II | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Ujpest | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tatabánya and Dorogi FC.
NB III Northwest table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dorogi FC | 15 | +29 | 36 |
| 2 |  Tatabánya | 15 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 |  Haladás VSE | 15 | +22 | 32 |
| 4 |  Puskás II | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 |  Komárom | 15 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Sárisápi Bányász | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 |  MTE 1904 | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  SC Sopron | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Zalaegerszegi TE II | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Bicskei | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 |  Veszprém | 15 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gyori ETO II | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |  Király SZE | 15 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 |  Pápai Perutz | 15 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Balatonalmádi | 15 | -28 | 11 |
| 16 |  1908 SZAC | 15 | -36 | 2 |
More NB III Northwest predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
Our pick is Tatabánya or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
On our numbers Tatabánya have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dorogi FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC (NB III Northwest) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Grosics Gyula Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.