NB III Northwest · HungaryMTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: MTE 1904 1.5 – 1.6 Dorogi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates MTE 1904 and Dorogi FC on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
MTE 1904 have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Dorogi FC have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Dorogi FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for MTE 1904, 1.6 for Dorogi FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, MTE 1904 have won 0, Dorogi FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dorogi FC to win ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dorogi FC / FT Dorogi FC ✓ | 24% | 4.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.63 | – |
Form
MTE 1904 – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Pápai Perutz | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Zalaegerszegi TE II | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Komárom | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Aug | vs 1908 SZAC | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Veszprém | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | @ Balatonalmádi | 1–0 | W |
Dorogi FC – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Puskás II | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Ujpest | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Pápai Perutz | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Zalaegerszegi TE II | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Komárom | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Móri SE | 7–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 2026 | MTE 1904 v Dorogi FC | 0–1 |
NB III Northwest table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dorogi FC | 15 | +29 | 36 |
| 2 |  Tatabánya | 15 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 |  Haladás VSE | 15 | +22 | 32 |
| 4 |  Puskás II | 15 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 |  Komárom | 15 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Sárisápi Bányász | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 |  MTE 1904 | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  SC Sopron | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Zalaegerszegi TE II | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Bicskei | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 |  Veszprém | 15 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gyori ETO II | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |  Király SZE | 15 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 |  Pápai Perutz | 15 | -18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Balatonalmádi | 15 | -28 | 11 |
| 16 |  1908 SZAC | 15 | -36 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
On our numbers MTE 1904 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dorogi FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC?
MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC (NB III Northwest) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.