
Macarthur

Brisbane Roar
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Macarthur 1.3 – 1.2 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Macarthur and Brisbane Roar on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Macarthur have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Brisbane Roar have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Macarthur, 1.2 for Brisbane Roar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is better than our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Macarthur to win ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | 2.55 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 2.05 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Macarthur / FT Macarthur ✗ | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.92 | – |
Form
Macarthur – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Western Sydney Wanderers | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Newcastle Jets | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Perth Glory | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | @ SD Raiders | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jul | @ Uni Azzurri | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | vs Wellington Phoenix | 4–0 | W |
Brisbane Roar – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Auckland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Perth Glory | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Olympic | 4–3 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Sydney | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Jul | @ Sydney Olympic | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | vs Melbourne City | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.
More A League predictions
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
On our numbers Macarthur have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brisbane Roar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Campbelltown Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.