Challenge Cup · Scotland · ZLX Stadium
Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 2.4 – 0.9 Cowdenbeath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hamilton Academical are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 13% for Cowdenbeath.
Hamilton Academical have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Cowdenbeath have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Hamilton Academical come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.4 for Hamilton Academical, 0.9 for Cowdenbeath). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is better than our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hamilton Academical to win ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| Double chance | Hamilton Academical or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time result | Hamilton Academical ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.66 | – |
Form
Hamilton Academical – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Queen of the South | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Spartans | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ East Kilbride | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Cove Rangers | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Edinburgh City | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ East Fife | 0–0 | D |
Cowdenbeath – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Lochee United | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs East Stirlingshire | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Kilmarnock II | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Linlithgow Rose | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs East Kilbride | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Cowdenbeath.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cowdenbeath 13%.
How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?
Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.