Value bet: Atromitos to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos preview and prediction
The match
Atromitos travel to Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium in the Super League 1 on Saturday 10 October (17:30 WAT) to face Asteras Tripolis. Asteras Tripolis are 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Atromitos sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis's last 5: D-W-D-D-L. Most recently they drew with OFI 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atromitos's last 5: L-L-D-D-W. Most recently they lost to Kifisia 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Atromitos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.2 for Atromitos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Atromitos to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Atromitos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asteras Tripolis38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Atromitos36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.40Expected goals
1.22Asteras Tripolis xG
1.18Atromitos xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.2 – 1.2 Atromitos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atromitos 36%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Atromitos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
