Frauen Bundesliga · Germany · DreisamstadionSC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W prediction & analysis
SC Freiburg W to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: SC Freiburg W 2.3 – 0.8 Mainz 05 W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SC Freiburg W are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 10% for Mainz 05 W.
SC Freiburg W have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. Mainz 05 W have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Mainz 05 W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.3 for SC Freiburg W, 0.8 for Mainz 05 W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is SC Freiburg W to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SC Freiburg W to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | SC Freiburg W or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | SC Freiburg W ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SC Freiburg W / FT SC Freiburg W ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.45 | – |
Form
SC Freiburg W – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Bayern Munich W | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Union Berlin W | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Hamburger SV W | 1–1 | D |
| 17 May | @ SGS Essen W | 1–1 | D |
| 9 May | vs VfL Wolfsburg W | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1–2 | L |
Mainz 05 W – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs FC Koln W | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Bayern Munich W | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Werder Bremen W | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | @ Warbeyen W | 5–0 | W |
| 10 May | vs Ingolstadt W | 5–0 | W |
| 3 May | @ Wolfsburg II W | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg W and Mainz 05 W.
Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern Munich W | 9 | +24 | 27 |
| 2 |  VfL Wolfsburg W | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 3 |  Eintracht Frankfurt W | 9 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen W | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen W | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  FC Koln W | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Union Berlin W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Stuttgart W | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig W | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim W | 9 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg W | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 |  Nürnberg W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV W | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mainz 05 W | 9 | -25 | 0 |
More Frauen Bundesliga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our pick is SC Freiburg W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
On our numbers SC Freiburg W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mainz 05 W 10%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W?
SC Freiburg W vs Mainz 05 W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Dreisamstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.