National League South · England · Stonebridge Road StadiumEbbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare prediction & analysis
Ebbsfleet United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.7 – 0.8 Weston-super-Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ebbsfleet United hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Weston-super-Mare.
Ebbsfleet United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Weston-super-Mare have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Ebbsfleet United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Ebbsfleet United, 0.8 for Weston-super-Mare). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Ebbsfleet United to win at 1.85 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ebbsfleet United to win ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ebbsfleet United or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.02 | – |
Form
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
| 13 Oct | vs AFC Totton | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Hampton & Richmond | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Folkestone Invicta | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Sholing | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Slough Town | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Tonbridge Angels | 2–1 | W |
Weston-super-Mare – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Folkestone Invicta | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Farnham Town | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Wimborne Town | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Wimborne Town | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs AFC Totton | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebbsfleet United and Weston-super-Mare.
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
More National League South predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare?
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Weston-super-Mare 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare?
Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.