National League South · England · Stonebridge Road StadiumEbbsfleet United vs Horsham prediction & analysis
Ebbsfleet United to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 1.9 – 0.5 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ebbsfleet United are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 9% for Horsham.
Ebbsfleet United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Horsham have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Ebbsfleet United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.9 for Ebbsfleet United, 0.5 for Horsham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (16%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ebbsfleet United have won 0, Horsham have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ebbsfleet United to win ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Ebbsfleet United or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 6.04 | – |
Form
Ebbsfleet United – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Weston-super-Mare | 6–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs AFC Totton | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Hampton & Richmond | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Folkestone Invicta | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Sholing | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Slough Town | 1–1 | D |
Horsham – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Slough Town | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Maidstone Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Plymouth Parkway | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chelmsford City | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Walton & Hersham | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Chesham United | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 24 Feb 2026 | Horsham v Ebbsfleet United | 1–1 |
National League South table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ebbsfleet United | 16 | +26 | 35 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 16 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 |  Truro City | 14 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  Farnham Town | 16 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |  Salisbury | 14 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 |  Dorking Wanderers | 15 | +11 | 27 |
| 7 |  Billericay Town | 14 | +16 | 26 |
| 8 |  Chelmsford City | 16 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 10 |  Tonbridge Angels | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 11 |  Horsham | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Dover | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 |  Weston-super-Mare | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 14 |  Torquay | 14 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | +4 | 20 |
| 16 |  AFC Totton | 16 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 |  Farnborough | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |  Maidenhead | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 19 |  Braintree | 15 | -16 | 16 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 16 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 16 | -18 | 10 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 15 | -25 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 16 | -22 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Horsham 9%.
How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?
Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.