Primera Division · NicaraguaRancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti prediction & analysis
Walter Ferretti or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Walter Ferretti to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rancho Santana 0.9 – 2.0 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Walter Ferretti travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 16% for Rancho Santana.
Rancho Santana have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Walter Ferretti have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Walter Ferretti come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Rancho Santana, 2.0 for Walter Ferretti). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Rancho Santana have won 0, Walter Ferretti have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Walter Ferretti to win at 1.90 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Walter Ferretti to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Walter Ferretti or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Walter Ferretti ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Walter Ferretti / FT Walter Ferretti ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.32 | – |
Form
Rancho Santana – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ Diriangén | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs H&H Export | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | @ UNAN Managua | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | @ Managua | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | @ Managua | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Jul | vs Managua | 2–3 | L |
Walter Ferretti – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Real Estelí | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs Matagalpa | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Jalapa | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | @ Jalapa | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Matagalpa | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Apr | @ Real Estelí | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
| 10 Apr 2026 | Walter Ferretti v Rancho Santana | 0–0 |
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?
Our pick is Walter Ferretti or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?
On our numbers Rancho Santana have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walter Ferretti 62%.
How many goals will there be in Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti?
Rancho Santana vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.