Primera Division · NicaraguaJalapa vs H&H Export prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: H&H Export to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jalapa 1.1 – 1.1 H&H Export expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Jalapa and H&H Export on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Jalapa have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. H&H Export have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. H&H Export come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Jalapa, 1.1 for H&H Export). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, H&H Export to win at 2.80 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jalapa to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jalapa / FT Jalapa ✗ | 20% | 5.00 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.26 | – |
Form
Jalapa – last 6
| 30 Jul | vs Real Estelí | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Managua | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Walter Ferretti | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | vs Matagalpa | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ Matagalpa | 1–3 | L |
| 7 May | @ Real Estelí | 1–3 | L |
H&H Export – last 6
| 2 Aug | @ Rancho Santana | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs San Marcos | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jul | @ Matagalpa | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | vs Diriangén | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Jul | @ Diriangén | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | vs Real Estelí | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jalapa and H&H Export.
Primera Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Managua | 16 | +34 | 41 |
| 2 |  Diriangén | 16 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Real Estelí | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 4 |  UNAN Managua | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 5 |  Walter Ferretti | 16 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  H&H Export | 16 | -12 | 20 |
| 7 |  San Marcos | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Jalapa | 16 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Rancho Santana | 16 | -17 | 10 |
| 10 |  Matagalpa | 16 | -27 | 10 |
More Primera Division predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jalapa vs H&H Export?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jalapa vs H&H Export?
On our numbers Jalapa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and H&H Export 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs H&H Export?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Jalapa vs H&H Export?
Jalapa vs H&H Export (Primera Division) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.