Süper Lig · Turkey · Rams Park StadyumuGalatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Fenerbahçe to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Galatasaray 1.8 – 1.7 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Galatasaray have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Fenerbahçe have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.8 for Galatasaray, 1.7 for Fenerbahçe). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Fenerbahçe to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Galatasaray to win ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Galatasaray / FT Galatasaray ✓ | 25% | 4.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 8% | 12.04 | – |
Form
Galatasaray – last 6
| 21 Oct | @ Lille | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Barcelona | 1–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Kasımpaşa | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Pendikspor | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Trabzonspor | 0–4 | L |
Fenerbahçe – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Slavia Praha | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Alanyaspor | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Aston Villa | 0–6 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Rizespor | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Turan | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Eyüpspor | 8–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More Süper Lig predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
On our numbers Galatasaray have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fenerbahçe 37%.
How many goals will there be in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe?
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Rams Park Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.