Argentina vs Switzerland prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Argentina 1.9 – 0.8 Switzerland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Argentina are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Switzerland.
Argentina have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Switzerland have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Argentina come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Argentina, 0.8 for Switzerland). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.41. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Argentina to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Argentina or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Argentina ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Argentina / FT Argentina ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.91 | – |
Form
Argentina – last 6
| 7 Jul | vs Egypt | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Jul | vs Cape Verde Islands | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jun | @ Jordan | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | vs Austria | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jun | vs Algeria | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | vs Iceland | 3–0 | W |
Switzerland – last 6
| 7 Jul | vs Colombia | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Jul | vs Algeria | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs Canada | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Jun | @ Qatar | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Australia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Switzerland.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Switzerland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Argentina vs Switzerland?
On our numbers Argentina have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Switzerland 13%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Switzerland?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Argentina vs Switzerland?
Argentina vs Switzerland (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.