Persha Liga · Ukraine · Lokomotyv StadiumSK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: SK Poltava 1.2 – 0.9 Metal Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
SK Poltava hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 30% for Metal Kharkiv.
SK Poltava have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.3 per game. Metal Kharkiv have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.2 for SK Poltava, 0.9 for Metal Kharkiv). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | SK Poltava to win ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava ✓ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.63 | – |
Form
SK Poltava – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Inhulets | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Kolos Kovalivka II | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Mayak Sarny | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs UCSA | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Yarud Mariupol' | 3–0 | W |
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Inhulets | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs UCSA | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Nyva Ternopil | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Penuel | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Oleksandria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Poltava and Metal Kharkiv.
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 15 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  Oleksandria | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 |  Kulykiv | 15 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 |  SK Poltava | 15 | +11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Inhulets | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Prykarpattia | 15 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 |  UCSA | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 14 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 |  Probiy Horodenka | 15 | -20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chernihiv | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 15 | -11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
On our numbers SK Poltava have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Metal Kharkiv 30%.
How many goals will there be in SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
SK Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.