Persha Liga · Ukraine · MCS RukhPrykarpattia vs Oleksandria prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Prykarpattia to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Prykarpattia 1.3 – 1.7 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oleksandria shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Prykarpattia.
Prykarpattia have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Oleksandria have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Oleksandria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Prykarpattia, 1.7 for Oleksandria). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Prykarpattia to win at 3.40 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oleksandria to win ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oleksandria / FT Oleksandria ✗ | 27% | 3.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.86 | – |
Form
Prykarpattia – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Polissya II | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Reshetylivka | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Probiy Horodenka | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Kulykiv | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Lokomotiv Kyiv | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Kolos Kovalivka II | 0–1 | L |
Oleksandria – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Chernihiv | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Bratslav Vinnytsia | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Metal Kharkiv | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Inhulets | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ UCSA | 4–4 | D |
| 24 Jul | vs Nyva Ternopil | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prykarpattia and Oleksandria.
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 15 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  Oleksandria | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 |  Kulykiv | 15 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 |  SK Poltava | 15 | +11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Inhulets | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Prykarpattia | 15 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 |  UCSA | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 14 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 |  Probiy Horodenka | 15 | -20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chernihiv | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 15 | -11 | 9 |
More Persha Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
On our numbers Prykarpattia have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oleksandria 46%.
How many goals will there be in Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria?
Prykarpattia vs Oleksandria (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at MCS Rukh.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.