Persha Liga · Ukraine · OSC MetalistMetal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
Value bet: Metal Kharkiv to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Metal Kharkiv 1.1 – 1.2 Nyva Ternopil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Metal Kharkiv have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Nyva Ternopil have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Metal Kharkiv come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Metal Kharkiv, 1.2 for Nyva Ternopil). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Metal Kharkiv to win at 3.50 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nyva Ternopil to win ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.02 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.06 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nyva Ternopil / FT Nyva Ternopil ✗ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.27 | – |
Form
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Penuel | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Oleksandria | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Polissya II | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Probiy Horodenka | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Kulykiv | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | @ Bukovyna | 1–1 | D |
Nyva Ternopil – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Bukovyna | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ Inhulets | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ UCSA | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ SK Poltava | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | @ Oleksandria | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Jul | @ Karpaty | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metal Kharkiv and Nyva Ternopil.
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Yarud Mariupol' | 15 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  Oleksandria | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 14 | +6 | 26 |
| 5 |  Kulykiv | 15 | +11 | 25 |
| 6 |  SK Poltava | 15 | +11 | 24 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil | 15 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metal Kharkiv | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Inhulets | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Prykarpattia | 15 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 |  UCSA | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II | 14 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 |  Probiy Horodenka | 15 | -20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Chernihiv | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Polissya II | 15 | -11 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
On our numbers Metal Kharkiv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nyva Ternopil 40%.
How many goals will there be in Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil?
Metal Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at OSC Metalist.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.