Liga De Expansión MX · MexicoTepatitlán vs Cancún prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.1 – 2.2 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cancún travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for Tepatitlán.
Tepatitlán have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.5 per game. Cancún have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Cancún come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.1 for Tepatitlán, 2.2 for Cancún). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tepatitlán have won 0, Cancún have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cancún to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Cancún or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Cancún ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cancún / FT Cancún ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.24 | – |
Form
Tepatitlán – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Piratas | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Tapatío | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Monarcas | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs CDS Tampico Madero | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Mineros de Zacatecas | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Venados FC | 0–5 | L |
Cancún – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Venados FC | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Mineros de Zacatecas | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tapatío | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Tlaxcala | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Dorados | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Cancún v Tepatitlán | 2–2 |
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cancún 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Tepatitlán vs Cancún?
Tepatitlán vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.