CA La Paz host Tlaxcala in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guaycura. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Tlaxcala sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CA La Paz's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Tapatío 4–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Tlaxcala's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Piratas 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished CA La Paz 2–0 Tlaxcala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for CA La Paz and 1.3 for Tlaxcala. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 63%, draw 17%, Tlaxcala 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.60
Tlaxcala19%fair 5.14 · @4.80
3.79Expected goals
2.47CA La Paz xG
1.32Tlaxcala xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.5 – 1.3 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tlaxcala 19%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
