Liga De Expansión MX · MexicoAlebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.2 – 1.7 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CA La Paz shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 27% for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. CA La Paz have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. CA La Paz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, 1.7 for CA La Paz). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 0, CA La Paz have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.62.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CA La Paz to win ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✓ | 31% | 3.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.36 | – |
Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Cancún | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Durango | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Monarcas | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Tapatío | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ CDS Tampico Madero | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Tepatitlán | 1–0 | W |
CA La Paz – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Correcaminos Uat | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Leones Negros UDG | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Mineros de Zacatecas | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Cancún | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Piratas | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Mar 2026 | CA La Paz v Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 4–0 |
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
More Liga De Expansión MX predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CA La Paz 52%.
How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.