Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio GuaycuraCA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Mineros de Zacatecas to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.0 – 1.9 Mineros de Zacatecas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
CA La Paz have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mineros de Zacatecas have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.0 for CA La Paz, 1.9 for Mineros de Zacatecas). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Mineros de Zacatecas to win at 2.75 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CA La Paz to win ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 34% | 2.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✓ | 25% | 4.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 13.24 | – |
Form
CA La Paz – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Cancún | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Piratas | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Tepatitlán | 5–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Durango | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Monarcas | 2–4 | L |
Mineros de Zacatecas – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs CDS Tampico Madero | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Tapatío | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Venados FC | 5–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Dorados | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Tlaxcala | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Correcaminos Uat | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Mineros de Zacatecas.
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mineros de Zacatecas 39%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.