FAW Championship · Wales

Trethomas Bluebirds

LWLWL
2–2
FT

Llantwit Major

LWLDL

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗57% · @1.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Win chances

Trethomas Bluebirds57%fair 1.76 · @1.78
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.88
Llantwit Major24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
3.38Expected goals
2.09Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.28Llantwit Major xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Trethomas Bluebirds hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 24% for Llantwit Major.

Trethomas Bluebirds have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Llantwit Major have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.4 goals (2.1 for Trethomas Bluebirds, 1.3 for Llantwit Major). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.56.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗57%1.761.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.741.56
Half-time resultTrethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds ✗36%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Form

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6

LWLWLD
31 Oct@ Aberystwyth Town1–2L
23 Octvs Cardiff Draconians3–1W
16 Oct@ Cambrian & Clydach0–5L
10 Oct@ Treowen Stars3–1W
3 Octvs Pontardawe Town2–3L
26 Sep@ Ynyshir Albions1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Llantwit Major – last 6

LWLDLW
31 Octvs Newport City2–3L
23 Oct@ Caerau (Ely)2–0W
17 Oct@ Trefelin1–4L
10 Octvs Pontardawe Town1–1D
6 Oct@ Pontypridd Town1–4L
2 Oct@ Carmarthen Town2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Llantwit Major.

More FAW Championship predictions

FT Buckley Town1 Brickfield Rangers3 341947 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.39 ✓ FT Porthmadog1 Llanuwchllyn0 691912 1Porthmadog to win 69%@1.36 ✓ FT Carmarthen Town0 Aberystwyth Town4 231562 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.49 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Llantwit Major 24%.

How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.