FAW Championship · Wales · Richmond Park

Carmarthen Town

LLLDL
0–4
FT

Aberystwyth Town

WWLWD

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.49Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAberystwyth Town to win ✓62% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.49
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Win chances

Carmarthen Town23%fair 4.31 · @3.78
Draw15%fair 6.74 · @3.92
Aberystwyth Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.66
3.50Expected goals
1.26Carmarthen Town xG
2.24Aberystwyth Town xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Carmarthen Town 1.3 – 2.2 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Aberystwyth Town travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 23% for Carmarthen Town.

Carmarthen Town have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 per game. Aberystwyth Town have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Aberystwyth Town come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.5 goals (1.3 for Carmarthen Town, 2.2 for Aberystwyth Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.49 is close to our fair price of 1.51.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAberystwyth Town to win ✓62%1.611.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.49
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.55
Half-time resultAberystwyth Town ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.48–

Form

Carmarthen Town – last 6

LLLDLW
31 Oct@ Pontardawe Town1–2L
23 Octvs Caerphilly Athletic1–3L
17 Octvs Newport City4–5L
10 Oct@ Cardiff Draconians2–2D
2 Octvs Llantwit Major1–2L
25 Sep@ Baglan Dragons2–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Aberystwyth Town – last 6

WWLWDW
31 Octvs Trethomas Bluebirds2–1W
17 Octvs Prestatyn Town5–1W
10 Octvs Caerau (Ely)0–1L
3 Oct@ Pontypridd Town3–1W
25 Sepvs Swansea University0–0D
12 Sep@ Caerphilly Athletic3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Carmarthen Town and Aberystwyth Town.

More FAW Championship predictions

FT Buckley Town1 Brickfield Rangers3 341947 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.39 ✓ FT Porthmadog1 Llanuwchllyn0 691912 1Porthmadog to win 69%@1.36 ✓ FT Trethomas Bluebirds2 Llantwit Major2 571924 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

On our numbers Carmarthen Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Aberystwyth Town 62%.

How many goals will there be in Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

When is Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.