FAW Championship · Wales · USW Sports ParkPontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.8 – 1.3 llanelli AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pontypridd Town are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for llanelli AFC.
Pontypridd Town have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. llanelli AFC have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 0.5 scored and 3.7 conceded. Pontypridd Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.1 goals (2.8 for Pontypridd Town, 1.3 for llanelli AFC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pontypridd Town to win ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Pontypridd Town or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Half-time result | Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.85 | – |
Form
Pontypridd Town – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Newport City | 4–4 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Baglan Dragons | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Llantwit Major | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Aberystwyth Town | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Afan Lido | 0–1 | L |
llanelli AFC – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Afan Lido | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–6 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Ynyshir Albions | 2–6 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Baglan Dragons | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Llantwit Major | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and llanelli AFC.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and llanelli AFC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.