Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeist to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceHeist or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Heist vs Tienen preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Heist take on Tienen on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum.
Form guide
Heist's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Antwerp 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tienen's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tienen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Heist and 1.2 for Tienen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heist 57%, draw 22%, Tienen 21%.
Safer route: Heist or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Heist or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Heist 2–1 Tienen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heist57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Tienen21%fair 4.76 · @3.90
3.21Expected goals
2.04Heist xG
1.17Tienen xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Heist 2.0 – 1.2 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heist to win✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Heist or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Heist ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heist / FT Heist✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Heist – last 6
LDWLDL
17 Oct
vs Antwerp
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
30 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Kortrijk
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 6
DDWDWL
11 Oct
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Merelbeke
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Roeselare Daisel
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Harelbeke
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heist and Tienen.
Our pick is Heist or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Heist vs Tienen?
On our numbers Heist have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tienen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Heist vs Tienen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heist vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Heist 2–1 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Heist vs Tienen?
Heist vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Albert Quévy-Mons2
Rochefort0