First Amateur Division · BelgiumStandard Liège II vs Tubize prediction & analysis
Tubize to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Standard Liège II 0.4 – 1.7 Tubize expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tubize travel as clear favourites – 71% to win, against 9% for Standard Liège II.
Standard Liège II have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Tubize have 7 points from their last 5 (2W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.4 for Standard Liège II, 1.7 for Tubize). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 51% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (21%), 0–2 (18%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Tubize to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 2.50 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tubize to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Tubize or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Tubize ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tubize / FT Tubize ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 21% | 4.81 | – |
Form
Standard Liège II – last 6
| 10 May | vs Crossing Schaerbeek | 1–1 | D |
| 3 May | @ Sporting Charleroi II | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Stockay-Warfusée | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Crossing Schaerbeek | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | @ Union Namur | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Mar | @ Stockay-Warfusée | 0–3 | L |
Tubize – last 5
| 26 Aug | vs Sporting Charleroi II | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | @ Francs Borains | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | vs Rochefort | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Habay-la-Neuve | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | @ Meux | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liège II and Tubize.
First Amateur Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Meux | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 |  Rochefort | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Tubize | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 12 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  RWDM | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  Olympic Charleroi | 12 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Standard Liège II | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Onhaye | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Flénu | 12 | -22 | 2 |
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Dessel Sport4Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Standard Liège II vs Tubize?
Our pick is Tubize to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Standard Liège II vs Tubize?
On our numbers Standard Liège II have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tubize 71%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liège II vs Tubize?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
When is Standard Liège II vs Tubize?
Standard Liège II vs Tubize (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.