Tweede Divisie · Netherlands · Sportpark DenoekHoek vs Almere City II prediction & analysis
Hoek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hoek 2.1 – 1.0 Almere City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hoek are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 19% for Almere City II.
Hoek have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Almere City II have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Hoek, 1.0 for Almere City II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Hoek to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hoek to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Half-time result | Hoek ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hoek / FT Hoek ✗ | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Hoek – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Barendrecht | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ RKAV Volendam | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Spakenburg | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Katwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Koninklijke HFC | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jul | vs NAC Breda | 1–2 | L |
Almere City II – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Spakenburg | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Katwijk | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Koninklijke HFC | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ HHC | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Rijnsburgse Boys | 4–0 | W |
| 23 May | vs GVVV Veenendaal | 5–4 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoek and Almere City II.
Tweede Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quick Boys | 12 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 |  Ijsselmeervogels | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Kozakken Boys | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 4 |  HHC | 12 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 |  De Treffers | 12 | +14 | 22 |
| 6 |  GVVV Veenendaal | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 |  RKAV Volendam | 12 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Barendrecht | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Spakenburg | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam II | 12 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  AFC Amsterdam | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Katwijk | 12 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 |  Almere City II | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Rijnsburgse Boys | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 |  Koninklijke HFC | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Hoek | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 |  Kloetinge | 12 | -16 | 7 |
| 18 |  ROHDA Raalte | 12 | -27 | 1 |
More Tweede Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hoek vs Almere City II?
Our pick is Hoek to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hoek vs Almere City II?
On our numbers Hoek have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Almere City II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Almere City II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Hoek vs Almere City II?
Hoek vs Almere City II (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.