3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion KovonaKarviná II vs Frýdek-Místek prediction & analysis
Frýdek-Místek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Karviná II 1.0 – 1.8 Frýdek-Místek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Frýdek-Místek shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 26% for Karviná II.
Karviná II have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Frýdek-Místek have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Frýdek-Místek come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.0 for Karviná II, 1.8 for Frýdek-Místek). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Karviná II have won 0, Frýdek-Místek have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Frýdek-Místek to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Frýdek-Místek ahead at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✓ | 34% | 2.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.58 | – |
Form
Karviná II – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Vrchovina | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Polanka nad Odrou | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Havířov | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Uherský Brod | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Uničov | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Tatran Krásno | 1–2 | L |
Frýdek-Místek – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Sigma Olomouc II | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Unie Hlubina | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Vsetín | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Zbrojovka Brno II | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jul | vs Hranice | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Kozlovice | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 14 Mar 2026 | Frýdek-Místek v Karviná II | 1–0 |
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
On our numbers Karviná II have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Frýdek-Místek 59%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kovona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.