3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion U Cervenych domkuHodonín vs Frýdek-Místek prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hodonín 1.4 – 1.4 Frýdek-Místek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hodonín and Frýdek-Místek on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hodonín have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Frýdek-Místek have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Hodonín, 1.4 for Frýdek-Místek). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hodonín have won 0, Frýdek-Místek have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Frýdek-Místek to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✗ | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.41 | – |
Form
Hodonín – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Unie Hlubina | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Vsetín | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Zbrojovka Brno II | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Hranice | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Karviná II | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Sigma Olomouc II | 2–0 | W |
Frýdek-Místek – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Vrchovina | 4–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Polanka nad Odrou | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Havířov | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Uherský Brod | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Uničov | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Karviná II | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 29 May 2026 | Frýdek-Místek v Hodonín | 1–1 |
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
On our numbers Hodonín have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Frýdek-Místek 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek?
Hodonín vs Frýdek-Místek (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion U Cervenych domku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.