3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion StovkyFrýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina prediction & analysis
Frýdek-Místek to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Frýdek-Místek 1.7 – 0.8 Vrchovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Frýdek-Místek are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Vrchovina.
Frýdek-Místek have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Vrchovina have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Frýdek-Místek come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Frýdek-Místek, 0.8 for Vrchovina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Frýdek-Místek have won 0, Vrchovina have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Frýdek-Místek to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Frýdek-Místek or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✓ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.07 | – |
Form
Frýdek-Místek – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Polanka nad Odrou | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Havířov | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Uherský Brod | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Uničov | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Karviná II | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Sigma Olomouc II | 1–0 | W |
Vrchovina – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Unie Hlubina | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Vsetín | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Zbrojovka Brno II | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Hranice | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Slovácko II | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Karviná II | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Apr 2026 | Frýdek-Místek v Vrchovina | 1–1 |
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
On our numbers Frýdek-Místek have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vrchovina 18%.
How many goals will there be in Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stovky.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.